Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1046.353278 1198.516360 1372.330393 1587.146513 1847.684043 2156.259600 2.553622e+03
2025-01-05 795.857507 981.453266 1215.479147 1538.188230 1981.374514 2583.865276 3.492892e+03
2025-01-12 668.886306 860.954916 1117.717674 1496.464820 2059.869793 2900.562695 4.321733e+03
2025-01-19 578.362021 768.943912 1035.393212 1449.852224 2107.701545 3169.423612 5.153704e+03
2025-01-26 540.290054 741.271243 1034.899538 1516.671143 2334.404825 3769.700291 6.771343e+03
2025-02-02 503.179931 708.695780 1020.294436 1555.604907 2519.750076 4347.080135 8.603819e+03
2025-02-09 471.120563 678.972073 1004.629353 1587.786195 2697.290986 4959.812879 1.082954e+04
2025-02-16 436.360975 640.713450 969.601099 1579.209278 2794.309273 5435.819502 1.299672e+04
2025-02-23 416.199805 623.282179 966.237994 1626.105443 3010.801666 6247.962694 1.666345e+04
2025-03-02 396.809722 604.873612 958.503587 1662.687530 3213.515413 7103.209512 2.119892e+04
2025-03-09 374.067491 578.519633 933.493115 1660.873907 3329.826871 7780.549533 2.576380e+04
2025-03-16 350.062262 547.842980 897.304602 1630.646703 3372.600608 8271.189014 3.011020e+04
2025-03-23 334.197668 531.259599 887.653631 1659.876541 3583.199240 9410.208640 3.945266e+04
2025-03-30 309.598505 497.306531 842.116822 1605.617706 3570.282329 9844.412425 4.589374e+04
2025-04-06 288.943901 468.739404 803.960281 1561.877689 3575.220142 10351.212619 5.394435e+04
2025-04-13 269.785578 441.456672 765.731654 1512.563701 3553.824876 10761.580156 6.243571e+04
2025-04-20 264.483499 439.457414 777.741669 1583.190743 3902.676475 12868.304421 9.282472e+04
2025-04-27 256.640776 431.945494 777.592941 1624.360946 4176.704621 14884.600460 1.334159e+05
2025-05-04 248.710073 423.597028 774.767344 1658.405275 4440.779727 17099.226819 1.942246e+05
2025-05-11 237.844928 408.684728 756.435837 1649.330702 4556.613821 18658.048815 2.601860e+05
2025-05-18 232.325927 403.958420 759.800552 1698.957774 4901.980817 21926.644851 4.236492e+05
2025-05-25 226.293214 397.727574 759.174732 1737.687062 5223.784044 25485.470202 7.088399e+05
2025-06-01 217.857631 385.995306 744.987880 1735.766642 5386.220305 28167.569220 1.090479e+06